/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frealog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
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Danny Drinkwater
90'
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Lucas Joao
90'+1'
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Tom Holmes
33'
(OG)
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Allan Campbell
58'
Reading vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result
Reading
23.62%
Draw
25.48%
Luton Town
50.9%
Both Teams to Score:
48.98%
Goals
Over 2.5
46.25%
Under 2.5
53.75%
Over 3.5
24.77%
Under 3.5
75.23%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5
62.12%
Under 0.5
37.88%
Over 1.5
25.34%
Under 1.5
74.65%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
78.86%
Under 0.5
21.14%
Over 1.5
46.01%
Under 1.5
53.99%
Score analysis
Reading
23.62%
Draw
25.48%
Luton Town
50.89%
Reading
1-0
@
7.77%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 3.77%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.47%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 23.62%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 3.77%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.47%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 23.62%
Draw
1-1
@
12.08%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.48%
0-0 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.48%
Luton Town
0-1
@
12.44%
0-2 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-3 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 4.86%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-4 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 50.89%
0-2 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-3 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 4.86%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-4 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 50.89%