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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Luton Town |
| 23.62% | 25.48% | 50.9% |
| Both teams to score 48.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.25% | 53.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.77% | 75.23% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.12% | 37.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% | 74.65% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% | 21.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.01% | 53.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 5.86% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.61% Total : 23.62% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 12.44% 0-2 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-3 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.41% Total : 50.89% |