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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Reading |
| 51.79% | 27.19% | 21.02% |
| Both teams to score 41.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.14% | 61.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.37% | 81.63% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% | 24.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.86% | 45.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.96% | 81.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 15.49% 2-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 4.14% 4-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.24% Total : 51.78% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 4.9% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 0.92% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.02% |