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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Reading |
| 58.58% | 23.98% | 17.44% |
| Both teams to score 44.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% | 76.27% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% | 18.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.14% | 49.86% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.75% | 45.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.87% | 81.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 11.9% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 5.3% 4-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.1% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.02% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.64% 1-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.51% Total : 17.44% |