Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
Reading2 - 2Derby
We said: Reading 1-1 Derby County
Reading are probably the stronger side on paper but will have to overcome some ring rustiness after such an extended break between games. Derby are also playing well and look determined to pull off the impossible this season, so on this occasion we are backing a tight game ending in a score draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Derby County |
| 39.05% | 28.36% | 32.58% |
| Both teams to score 46.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
