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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Derby County |
| 66.28% | 21.6% | 12.11% |
| Both teams to score 39.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% | 55.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% | 76.59% |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% | 16.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.65% | 45.35% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.71% | 53.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.17% | 86.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 15.63% 2-0 @ 14.31% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 5.5% 4-0 @ 4% 4-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.44% Total : 66.27% | 1-1 @ 9.84% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 2.84% Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.6% | 0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 3.1% 0-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.11% |