Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.