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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Blackpool |
| 29.3% | 26.71% | 43.99% |
| Both teams to score 49.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.22% | 54.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% | 76.09% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.31% | 33.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.65% | 70.35% |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% | 24.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% | 59.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Blackpool |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 4.93% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.3% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.99% |