Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate

Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby

Scott (16')
Bakinson (39'), Kalas (45+1'), Pring (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Knight (39'), Forsyth (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (12.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Derby County
34.68%	29.97%	35.35%

Both teams to score 42.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35%

65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.11%

83.89%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.75%

35.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28%

72%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.2%

34.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47%

71.53%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 34.68%

Derby County 35.34%

Draw 29.96%

Bristol City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.78% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.13% Total : 34.68%	1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.26% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.96%	0-1 @ 12.94% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.22% Total : 35.34%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Derby

Bristol City

50.0%

Draw

28.8%

Derby County

21.2%