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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 22.49% | 26.89% | 50.62% |
| Both teams to score 43.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.32% | 59.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% | 79.99% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.67% | 42.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.28% | 78.72% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% | 23.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% | 57.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.1% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.1% Total : 22.49% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 14.45% 0-2 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.61% |