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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 21.49% | 26.36% | 52.16% |
| Both teams to score 44.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.23% | 58.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.71% | 79.29% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.17% | 42.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.85% | 79.15% |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% | 22.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.67% | 56.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-1 @ 5.18% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.09% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.04% Total : 21.49% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 14.41% 0-2 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-3 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-4 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.69% Total : 52.15% |