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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
West Brom logo

Derby
1 - 0
West Brom

Kazim-Richards (58')
Davies (18'), Thompson (20'), Stearman (51'), Cashin (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Clarke (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
21.49%26.36%52.16%
Both teams to score 44.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.23%58.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71%79.29%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17%42.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.85%79.15%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67%56.33%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 21.49%
    West Bromwich Albion 52.15%
    Draw 26.36%
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-1 @ 5.18%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.09%
3-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.49%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 14.41%
0-2 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-3 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 4.48%
0-4 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 52.15%

How you voted: Derby vs West Brom

Derby County
15.3%
Draw
19.4%
West Bromwich Albion
65.3%
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