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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
West Brom logo

Derby
1 - 0
West Brom

Kazim-Richards (58')
Davies (18'), Thompson (20'), Stearman (51'), Cashin (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Clarke (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Derby County 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Derby have proven to be a tough nut to crack on home turf so far and will fancy their chances of securing a positive result, albeit against more illustrious opponents, and while we expect them to put in a good shift, we are also backing West Brom to get the job done come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
21.49%26.36%52.16%
Both teams to score 44.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.23%58.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71%79.29%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17%42.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.85%79.15%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67%56.33%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 21.49%
    West Bromwich Albion 52.15%
    Draw 26.36%
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-1 @ 5.18%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.09%
3-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.49%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 14.41%
0-2 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-3 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 4.48%
0-4 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 52.15%

How you voted: Derby vs West Brom

Derby County
15.3%
Draw
19.4%
West Bromwich Albion
65.3%
124
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
West Brom
0-0
Derby
Livermore (45+1')
Buchanan (33')
Jul 8, 2020 5pm
Aug 24, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Derby
1-1
West Brom
Waghorn (6' pen.)
Lawrence (90')
Zohore (84' pen.)
Ferguson (37')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Oct 24, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
1-4
Derby
Rodriguez (83')
Dawson (25')
Marriott (10'), Lawrence (15'), Wilson (51'), Malone (71')
Huddlestone (44'), Malone (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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