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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Fulham |
| 17.52% | 22.09% | 60.39% |
| Both teams to score 50.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% | 47.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% | 69.72% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.29% | 40.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.71% | 77.29% |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% | 15.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.99% | 44.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 5.6% 2-1 @ 4.72% 2-0 @ 2.51% 3-1 @ 1.41% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.52% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 11.69% 0-2 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-4 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.78% 2-4 @ 1.3% 0-5 @ 1.21% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.31% Total : 60.38% |