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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Fulham |
17.52% | 22.09% | 60.39% |
Both teams to score 50.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.49% | 47.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.28% | 69.72% |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.29% | 40.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.71% | 77.29% |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.71% | 15.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.99% | 44.01% |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Fulham |
1-0 @ 5.6% 2-1 @ 4.72% 2-0 @ 2.51% 3-1 @ 1.41% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.52% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 11.69% 0-2 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-4 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.78% 2-4 @ 1.3% 0-5 @ 1.21% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.31% Total : 60.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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