Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Jan 30, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Pride Park

Derby
2 - 2
Birmingham

Plange (87'), Bielik (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taylor (7'), Hogan (56')
Woods (62'), Etheridge (63'), Gardner (70'), James (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Derby County and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Birmingham City
38.16%	28.53%	33.31%

Both teams to score 46.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.66%

60.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.5%

80.5%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42%

30.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.19%

66.81%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28%

33.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63%

70.37%

Score Analysis

Derby County 38.16%

Birmingham City 33.3%

Draw 28.52%

Derby County	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.16%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Derby vs Birmingham

Derby County

72.9%

Draw

13.5%

Birmingham City