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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 49.22% | 25.82% | 24.96% |
| Both teams to score 49.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.08% | 53.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.62% | 75.38% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% | 21.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.79% | 55.21% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% | 36.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% | 73.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.12% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.07% 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.96% |