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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Barnsley |
| 44.29% | 28.16% | 27.54% |
| Both teams to score 44.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.24% | 60.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.19% | 80.81% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% | 62.77% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.68% | 38.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.92% | 75.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 13.58% 2-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.45% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.8% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.54% |