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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Hull City |
34.6% | 28.88% | 36.52% |
Both teams to score 45.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.55% | 61.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.67% | 81.33% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% | 33.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.95% | 70.05% |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.84% | 32.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.36% | 68.64% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 12.19% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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