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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Barnsley |
| 44.99% | 28.31% | 26.69% |
| Both teams to score 43.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.35% | 61.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.52% | 81.48% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% | 27.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% | 62.85% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.46% | 39.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.77% | 76.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 14.02% 2-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 8.43% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.76% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.43% Total : 26.68% |