Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.