FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 9, 2022 at 5.10pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Arsenal

Grabban (83')
Zinckernagel (35'), Spence (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinelli (74')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Arsenal
20.73%	22.98%	56.29%

Both teams to score 52.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.31%

46.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.05%

68.95%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.29%

36.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.51%

73.49%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61%

16.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.97%

46.02%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 20.73%

Arsenal 56.29%

Draw 22.97%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 6.03% 2-1 @ 5.46% 2-0 @ 3.02% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.73%	1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.97%	0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.84% 1-3 @ 5.95% 0-3 @ 5.93% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 2.69% 0-4 @ 2.68% 2-4 @ 1.35% 1-5 @ 0.97% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.29%