Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
3 - 0
Southampton

Lacazette (21'), Odegaard (27'), Magalhaes (62')
Magalhaes (3'), Saka (17')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Southampton
64.05%	20.89%	15.07%

Both teams to score 48.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.24%

46.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.98%

69.02%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.11%

13.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.68%

41.32%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.58%

43.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.35%

79.65%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 64.05%

Southampton 15.07%

Draw 20.89%

Arsenal	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-0 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.69% 5-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.63% Total : 64.05%	1-1 @ 9.93% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.89%	0-1 @ 5.03% 1-2 @ 4.14% 0-2 @ 2.1% 1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.07%