Man Utd

3 - 2

Arsenal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.