Manchester United vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.