Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 13

Nov 27, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 0
Newcastle

Saka (56'), Martinelli (66')
Aubameyang (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ritchie (44'), Krafth (48'), Lascelles (63')

Reaction

Bukayo Saka goes off injured for Arsenal on November 27, 2021

Mikel Arteta reveals muscular problem for Bukayo Saka

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta confirms that Bukayo Saka 'felt something muscular' in Saturday's 2-0 win over Newcastle United.

Nov 27, 17:14

Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang shoots at goal on November 27, 2021

Watch: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang produces contender for miss of the season

Arsenal captain Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang produces a contender for miss of the season during his side's Premier League clash against Newcastle United.

Nov 27, 13:22

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Newcastle United
68.05%	20.08%	11.87%

Both teams to score 42.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79%

50.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83%

72.17%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23%

13.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.93%

41.06%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.47%

50.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.98%

85.02%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 68.04%

Newcastle United 11.87%

Draw 20.08%

Arsenal	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 13.67% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 6.17% 4-0 @ 4.48% 4-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.35% Total : 68.04%	1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.08%	0-1 @ 4.75% 1-2 @ 3.21% 0-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.29% Total : 11.87%