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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Newcastle logo

Brighton
1 - 1
Newcastle

Trossard (24' pen.)
Lallana (75'), Bissouma (84'), Maupay (84')
Sanchez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayden (66')
Lascelles (12'), Murphy (60'), Shelvey (69'), Wilson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
49.78%27.04%23.18%
Both teams to score 44.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.35%59.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.03%79.97%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57%58.43%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37%41.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.89%78.11%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 49.77%
    Newcastle United 23.18%
    Draw 27.03%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 14.27%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.14%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Brighton vs Newcastle

Brighton & Hove Albion
76.9%
Draw
13.8%
Newcastle United
9.2%
195
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 8pm
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 2
Newcastle
0-3
Brighton

Shelvey (12'), Lewis (25'), Lascelles (34')
Maupay (4' pen., 7'), Connolly (83')
Bissouma (89')
Jul 20, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 37
Brighton
0-0
Newcastle
Bissouma (23'), Gross (26'), Stephens (46'), Webster (87')
Ritchie (31'), Rose (63')
Sep 21, 2019 5.30pm
Apr 27, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Brighton
1-1
Newcastle
Gross (75')
Andone (11'), Bissouma (78')
Perez (18')
Dummett (25'), Ritchie (45'), Muto (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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