Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
1 - 1
Newcastle

Trossard (24' pen.)
Lallana (75'), Bissouma (84'), Maupay (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayden (66')
Lascelles (12'), Murphy (60'), Shelvey (69'), Wilson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Newcastle United
49.78%	27.04%	23.18%

Both teams to score 44.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.35%

59.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.03%

79.97%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88%

24.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.57%

58.43%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.37%

41.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.89%

78.11%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 49.77%

Newcastle United 23.18%

Draw 27.03%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 14.27% 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.36% Total : 49.77%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.03%	0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.14% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.18%

How you voted: Brighton vs Newcastle

Brighton & Hove Albion

76.9%

Draw

13.8%

Newcastle United

9.2%