Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 9

Oct 23, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
1 - 4
Man City

Mac Allister (81' pen.)
Moder (63'), Lallana (70')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Gundogan (13'), Foden (28', 31'), Mahrez (90+5')
Walker (22'), Cancelo (60'), Ederson (84')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Manchester City
17.97%	22.21%	59.82%

Both teams to score 50.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.68%

47.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.46%

69.54%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.94%

40.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.29%

76.71%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58%

15.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.76%

44.24%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 17.97%

Manchester City 59.8%

Draw 22.21%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 5.65% 2-1 @ 4.83% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-1 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.97%	1-1 @ 10.56% 0-0 @ 6.18% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.21%	0-1 @ 11.54% 0-2 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 6.16% 0-4 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.82% 2-4 @ 1.32% 0-5 @ 1.18% 1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.8%