Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 44.85% | 25.84% | 29.31% |
| Both teams to score 52.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% | 51.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% | 73.18% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% | 22.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% | 56.56% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% | 31.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.65% | 68.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.32% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.31% |