Manchester United vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 11.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.