Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
0 - 2
Newcastle

Tete (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Willock (23'), Schar (88' pen.)

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Newcastle United
42.75%	26.51%	30.73%

Both teams to score 51.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.55%

53.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.02%

74.97%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23%

24.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.66%

59.34%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05%

31.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59%

68.4%

Score Analysis

Fulham 42.75%

Newcastle United 30.73%

Draw 26.51%

Fulham	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.75%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.73%