Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

May 15, 2021 at 3pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
3 - 1
Fulham

Adams (27'), Tella (60'), Walcott (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carvalho (75')
Andersen (26')

Reaction

Fulham manager Scott Parker reacts on May 10, 2021.

Scott Parker lauds Fabio Carvalho as "shining bright light"

The teenager scored his first goal for the Cottagers but it came in a defeat at Southampton.

May 15, 17:12

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Fulham
42.88%	25.95%	31.17%

Both teams to score 53.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.99%

51.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.13%

72.87%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37%

23.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28%

57.72%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6%

30.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.4%

66.6%

Score Analysis

Southampton 42.88%

Fulham 31.17%

Draw 25.95%

Southampton	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.88%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.17%