Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

May 7, 2021 at 8pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
2 - 4
Newcastle

Albrighton (80'), Iheanacho (87')
Iheanacho (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Willock (22'), Dummett (34'), Wilson (64', 73')
Krafth (56')

Reaction

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured on March 7, 2021

Steve Bruce believes Newcastle are "almost there" after Leicester win

Newcastle closed in on Premier League safety with a surprise win at Leicester.

May 7, 22:32

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Newcastle United
66.36%	20.28%	13.35%

Both teams to score 46.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.28%

47.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.09%

69.91%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5%

13.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.47%

40.53%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.47%

46.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.87%

82.12%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 66.36%

Newcastle United 13.35%

Draw 20.28%

Leicester City	Draw	Newcastle United
2-0 @ 12.59% 1-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 6.43% 4-0 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.46% 5-0 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.62% Total : 66.36%	1-1 @ 9.62% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.28%	0-1 @ 4.81% 1-2 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 0.94% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.35%