Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 24, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
1 - 1
Newcastle

Salah (3')
Kabak (9'), Fabinho (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Willock (90+5')
Fernandez (16')

Reaction

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured on April 19, 2021

Jurgen Klopp: 'No miracle formula to solve goal issues'

The Reds sit four points behind fourth-placed Chelsea with five games remaining.

Apr 25, 08:47

Jurgen Klopp: 'Liverpool do not deserve a Champions League place'

Newcastle's late equaliser dented the Reds' hopes at the end of a week dominated by the fall-out from the Super League plot.

Apr 24, 15:41

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Newcastle United
71.22%	17.6%	11.19%

Both teams to score 48.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79%

41.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.39%

63.61%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.71%

10.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.3%

33.7%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.99%

46.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.27%

81.73%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 71.21%

Newcastle United 11.19%

Draw 17.6%

Liverpool	Draw	Newcastle United
2-0 @ 12.24% 1-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 7.2% 4-0 @ 5.28% 4-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.8% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.59% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.29% Total : 71.21%	1-1 @ 8.36% 0-0 @ 4.74% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.6%	0-1 @ 3.68% 1-2 @ 3.25% 0-2 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.19%