Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

Apr 30, 2021 at 8pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 1
Leicester

Ward-Prowse (61' pen.)
Minamino (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Evans (68')

Reaction

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl pictured on March 1, 2021

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Apr 30, 22:43

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Leicester City
26.65%	24.69%	48.66%

Both teams to score 54.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.85%

48.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.69%

70.31%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.75%

32.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.26%

68.74%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17%

19.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.08%

51.92%

Score Analysis

Southampton 26.65%

Leicester City 48.65%

Draw 24.68%

Southampton	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 7.24% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.65%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-2 @ 8.37% 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-3 @ 4.51% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.9% Total : 48.65%