Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 14, 2021 at 12pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 2
Brighton

Adams (27')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dunk (16'), Trossard (56')

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Brighton & Hove Albion manager Graham Potter pictured on February 27, 2021

Graham Potter: 'We will keep fighting relegation'

It is now 10 defeats from their last 12 matches for Saints.

Mar 14, 14:51

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
35.46%	26.93%	37.61%

Both teams to score 51.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.88%

54.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46%

75.54%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84%

29.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91%

65.09%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14%

27.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.53%

63.47%

Score Analysis

Southampton 35.45%

Brighton & Hove Albion 37.61%

Draw 26.93%

Southampton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.45%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.61%