Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 3, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
0 - 2
Man City

Ndidi (32'), Amartey (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendy (58'), Jesus (74')
Ederson (73'), Fernandinho (82'), Rodri (90')

Reaction

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on March 7, 2021

Pep Guardiola vows to continue rotating players

The City boss, who made six changes against Leicester, insists City would not be competing for a quadruple without player rotation.

Apr 4, 21:46

Kevin De Bruyne in action for Manchester City during the derby on March 7, 2021

Kevin De Bruyne: 'We had to be patient to beat Leicester City'

City recorded a 15th straight away win in all competitions.

Apr 4, 10:53

Pep Guardiola: 'Leicester win is another step towards the title'

City outclassed third-placed Leicester 2-0.

Apr 3, 20:04

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.42%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-0 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Manchester City
18.9%	22.43%	58.68%

Both teams to score 51.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.16%

46.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.9%

69.1%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.27%

38.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.53%

75.47%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.37%

15.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.36%

44.64%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 18.9%

Manchester City 58.66%

Draw 22.42%

Leicester City	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 5.74% 2-1 @ 5.05% 2-0 @ 2.72% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.9%	1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.42%	0-1 @ 11.23% 0-2 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 6.12% 0-4 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 2.84% 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.11% 1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.66%