Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK

Molineux

Wolves
1 - 2
Man Utd

Semedo (39')
Ait-Nouri (41'), Dendoncker (41'), Boly (75'), Gibbs-White (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Elanga (13'), Mata (45+4' pen.)
Henderson (56')

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May 23, 20:40

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Manchester United
22.38%	23.64%	53.98%

Both teams to score 53.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.46%

47.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.25%

69.75%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.42%

35.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.65%

72.35%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48%

17.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.96%

48.04%

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 22.38%

Manchester United 53.97%

Draw 23.64%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 6.44% 2-1 @ 5.8% 2-0 @ 3.33% 3-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.93% Total : 22.38%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.64%	0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-2 @ 9.46% 1-3 @ 5.67% 0-3 @ 5.49% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.66% Total : 53.97%