Europa League

Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 6, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 2
Man Utd

(Manchester United win 8-5 on aggregate)

Dzeko (57'), Cristante (60'), Telles (83' og.)
Karsdorp (72'), Cristante (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cavani (39', 68')
Wan-Bissaka (18'), Fred (58'), Cavani (72'), Williams (90+2')

Reaction

Manchester United boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer pictured on April 29, 2021

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer lavishes praise on Edinson Cavani, David De Gea

United will face Villarreal in the final later this month.

May 6, 22:41

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Manchester United
28.74%	27.77%	43.5%

Both teams to score 46.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.1%

58.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.61%

79.39%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.67%

36.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.89%

73.12%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13%

26.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81%

62.19%

Score Analysis

Roma 28.74%

Manchester United 43.49%

Draw 27.77%

Roma	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.9% Total : 28.74%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.77%	0-1 @ 12.82% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 8.43% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.49%