Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

May 9, 2021 at 2.05pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 3
Man Utd

Traore (24')
Watkins (45+1'), McGinn (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandes (52' pen.), Greenwood (56'), Cavani (87')
Maguire (67')

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Manchester United boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer pictured on April 29, 2021

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The Red Devils, 3-1 winners at Aston Villa, face three Premier League games in five days.

May 9, 17:39

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Manchester United
19.92%	20.66%	59.41%

Both teams to score 59.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.66%

37.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.45%

59.55%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.87%

32.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.39%

68.61%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.7%

12.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.94%

38.06%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 19.92%

Manchester United 59.41%

Draw 20.66%

Aston Villa	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 5.34% 1-0 @ 4.48% 2-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.45% Total : 19.92%	1-1 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.66%	1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 6.88% 0-3 @ 6.06% 2-3 @ 3.91% 1-4 @ 3.61% 0-4 @ 3.18% 2-4 @ 2.05% 1-5 @ 1.51% 0-5 @ 1.33% Other @ 4.07% Total : 59.41%