Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 2

Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 0
Newcastle

Ings (45+3'), El Ghazi (62' pen.)
Luiz (45+1'), Martinez (75'), Buendia (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (41'), Hayden (45'), Murphy (57'), Schar (84')

Reaction

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce reacts on May 7, 2021

'The big decisions went against us' - Steve Bruce bemoans VAR calls after defeat

Aston Villa ran out 2-0 winners over Newcastle.

Aug 21, 17:28

The Match

Match Report

Anwar El Ghazi added Villa's second goal from the penalty spot.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
43.18%	27.77%	29.05%

Both teams to score 46.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.22%

58.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.7%

79.3%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01%

26.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.67%

62.33%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.99%

36.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.21%

72.79%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 43.18%

Newcastle United 29.05%

Draw 27.77%

Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 12.73% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.18%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.77%	0-1 @ 9.93% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.96% Total : 29.05%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Aston Villa

67.3%

Draw

18.1%

Newcastle United

14.6%