Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup

Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Burnley logo

Newcastle
0 - 0
Burnley

FT
(aet)

Collins (79'), McNeil (80')
Burnley win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

The Clarets squeezed through to the third round 4-3 on spot-kicks.

Team News

Freddie Woodman could continue in goal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
37.8%24.5%37.7%
Both teams to score 59.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.72%43.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32%65.67%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.55%56.45%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18%22.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46%56.54%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 37.8%
    Burnley 37.7%
    Draw 24.49%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.8%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.67%
1-3 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.7%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Burnley

Newcastle United
67.8%
Draw
12.7%
Burnley
19.5%
205