Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Watford |
| 42.78% | 28.57% | 28.65% |
| Both teams to score 44.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.36% | 61.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.53% | 81.47% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% | 28.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% | 64.34% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.1% | 37.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.33% | 74.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 13.56% 2-0 @ 8.5% 2-1 @ 8.25% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.61% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.64% |