EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Fletcher (86')
Camilo Hernandez (44'), Sierralta (61'), Rose (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gallagher (54')

Reaction

Crystal Palace manager Patrick Vieira pictured in July 2021

Patrick Vieira urges Crystal Palace to be more clinical after Watford cup defeat

Hornets manager Xisco Munoz was delighted to get a first clean sheet of the campaign.

Aug 24, 22:07

The Match

Match Report

Patrick Vieira remains without a win or goal after three games as Crystal Palace manager

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Crystal Palace
43.46%	25.14%	31.4%

Both teams to score 55.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53%

47.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.32%

69.68%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17%

21.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.95%

55.05%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53%

28.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76%

64.24%

Score Analysis

Watford 43.46%

Crystal Palace 31.4%

Draw 25.14%

Watford	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.46%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.4%