Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2021 at 3pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
3 - 0
Crystal Palace

Alonso (27'), Pulisic (40'), Chalobah (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reaction

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel on May 8, 2021.

Thomas Tuchel stresses importance of academy players as Trevoh Chalobah stars

Rookie defender Trevoh Chalobah sealed a resounding 3-0 success over the Eagles with a fine second-half strike from distance.

Aug 14, 18:05

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.98%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Crystal Palace
63.63%	22.09%	14.28%

Both teams to score 43.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.98%

53.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.39%

74.61%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91%

16.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.51%

45.49%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.64%

48.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.51%

83.49%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 63.62%

Crystal Palace 14.28%

Draw 22.08%

Chelsea	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 12.98% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 5.75% 4-0 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 0.96% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.79% Total : 63.62%	1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.08%	0-1 @ 5.65% 1-2 @ 3.75% 0-2 @ 2.05% 1-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.91% Total : 14.28%