Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

May 11, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
3 - 1
Crystal Palace

Ings (19', 75'), Adams (48')
Bednarek (44'), Vestergaard (54')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Benteke (2')
Ayew (45+1'), Kouyate (77'), Zaha (90+2')

Reaction

Southampton's Danny Ings celebrates scoring their first goal against Crystal Palace in the Premier League on May 11, 2021

Ralph Hasenhuttl optimistic over Danny Ings' Southampton future

The striker scored twice on his return from injury to set up a 3-1 win over Crystal Palace.

May 11, 22:42

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Crystal Palace
45.33%	26.98%	27.68%

Both teams to score 48.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.41%

56.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.44%

77.56%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11%

24.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.5%

59.49%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08%

35.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.3%

72.7%

Score Analysis

Southampton 45.33%

Crystal Palace 27.68%

Draw 26.98%

Southampton	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.33%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.68%