Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 35

May 8, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
1 - 2
Chelsea

Sterling (44')
Sterling (12'), Jesus (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ziyech (63'), Alonso (90+2')

Reaction

Manchester City forward Raheem Sterling pictured on January 17, 2021

Raheem Sterling frustrated not to secure Premier League title

City missed their first opportunity to seal the crown as Chelsea came from behind to win 2-1 at the Etihad Stadium.

May 9, 08:19

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel pictured on April 10, 2021

Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel joins elite crowd with Manchester City victory

Thomas Tuchel becomes the fifth manager in English top-flight history to avoid defeat in his first eight away games after Chelsea overcame Manchester City on Saturday.

May 8, 22:57

Manchester City's Sergio Aguero misses a penalty against Chelsea in the Premier League on May 8, 2021

Pep Guardiola refuses to blame Aguero panenka miss for Chelsea loss

City's record goalscorer embarrassingly chipped an attempted Panenka-style spot-kick straight at Chelsea goalkeeper Edouard Mendy in a 2-1 defeat.

May 8, 21:18

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Chelsea
50.26%	23.95%	25.78%

Both teams to score 55.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.35%

45.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.03%

67.97%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78%

18.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.77%

49.23%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39%

31.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99%

68.01%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 50.26%

Chelsea 25.78%

Draw 23.95%

Manchester City	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.26%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.76% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.63% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.74% Total : 25.78%