Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

May 16, 2021 at 12pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
3 - 2
Aston Villa

Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')

Reaction

Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson on May 8, 2021.

Roy Hodgson delighted with performance against Aston Villa

The Eagles came from behind to beat Aston Villa at Selhurst Park.

May 16, 15:09

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
18.72%	23.38%	57.89%

Both teams to score 48.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49%

51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.13%

72.87%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.64%

41.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.13%

77.87%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.63%

17.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.23%

47.77%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 18.72%

Aston Villa 57.89%

Draw 23.38%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 6.34% 2-1 @ 4.9% 2-0 @ 2.8% 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.72%	1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 12.57% 0-2 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 5.67% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 2.48% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.89%