Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

Apr 25, 2021 at 7pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 2
West Brom

El Ghazi (9' pen.), Pereira (23' pen.), Mings (47' og.), Davis (90+2')
Gallagher (54'), Yokuslu (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reaction

West Bromwich Albion manager Sam Allardyce pictured on March 4, 2021

Sam Allardyce: 'We have no margin for error'

The Baggies are nine points from safety with five games left after drawing 2-2 at Villa Park.

Apr 25, 21:46

Manchester United's Marcus Rashford in action with Leeds United's Luke Ayling in the Premier League on April 25, 2021

Premier League roundup: West Bromwich Albion slip closer to Championship while Leeds United hold Manchester United

The Baggies are nine points from safety following the 2-2 draw.

Apr 25, 20:35

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
47.03%	25.9%	27.07%

Both teams to score 50.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2%

52.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57%

74.43%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56%

22.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.03%

55.97%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62%

34.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91%

71.09%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 47.02%

West Bromwich Albion 27.07%

Draw 25.89%

Aston Villa	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.15% Total : 47.02%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.07%