Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 4, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Fulham

Trezeguet (78', 81'), Watkins (87')
Luiz (15')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitrovic (61')
Andersen (16'), Reid (74')

Reaction

Fulham manager Scott Parker pictured on March 7, 2021

Scott Parker: 'We must learn from late capitulation'

The Cottagers conceded three times in 10 minutes to lose 3-1 at Villa Park.

Apr 4, 19:16

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Fulham
32.89%	26.91%	40.2%

Both teams to score 50.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.59%

54.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.22%

75.78%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05%

30.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75%

67.25%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45%

26.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.24%

61.76%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 32.89%

Fulham 40.19%

Draw 26.91%

Aston Villa	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.89%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.19%