Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 29

Mar 19, 2021 at 8pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
1 - 2
Leeds

Andersen (38')
Lemina (51'), Loftus-Cheek (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bamford (29'), Raphinha (58')
Bamford (31'), Phillips (90+4')

Reaction

Fulham manager Scott Parker pictured on March 7, 2021

Scott Parker admits "the better team won" in Leeds defeat

Leeds won 2-1 at Craven Cottage to end their London hoodoo.

Mar 19, 23:57

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Leeds United
27.22%	23.97%	48.82%

Both teams to score 57.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.42%

44.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.06%

66.95%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07%

29.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.96%

66.04%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63%

18.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51%

49.49%

Score Analysis

Fulham 27.22%

Leeds United 48.82%

Draw 23.96%

Fulham	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 6.78% 1-0 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.17% Total : 27.22%	1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 9.52% 0-1 @ 9.32% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 5.38% 0-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.46% Total : 48.82%