Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.11%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-0 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Manchester City |
8.97% | 15.13% | 75.9% |
Both teams to score 48.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.73% | 36.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.6% | 58.4% |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.96% | 47.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.49% | 82.51% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.03% | 7.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.87% | 28.13% |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Manchester City |
1-0 @ 2.83% 2-1 @ 2.7% 2-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.38% Total : 8.97% | 1-1 @ 7.15% 0-0 @ 3.75% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.82% Total : 15.13% | 0-2 @ 11.99% 0-3 @ 10.11% 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 9.05% 1-3 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 6.4% 1-4 @ 4.83% 0-5 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-5 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.82% 0-6 @ 1.37% 1-6 @ 1.03% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.71% Total : 75.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 32 | 43 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 16 |
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