Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Feb 17, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 3
Man City

Richarlison (37')
Doucoure (28'), Richarlison (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Foden (32'), Mahrez (63'), Silva (77')
Sterling (67')

Reaction

Manchester City's Bernardo Silva celebrates scoring against Aston Villa in the Premier League on January 20, 2021

Pep Guardiola lavishes praise on Bernardo Silva

Bernardo Silva scored one and set up another as City extended their record-breaking winning run with a 3-1 victory at Everton.

Feb 18, 10:29

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured in February 2021

Pep Guardiola refusing to dwell on Manchester City's winning run

The 3-1 victory at Everton made them the first English top-flight side to begin a calendar year with 10 straight league wins.

Feb 17, 23:23

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Everton had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 0-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Everton win it was 2-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Manchester City
14.19%	17.62%	68.19%

Both teams to score 58.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.53%

33.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.74%

55.26%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76%

36.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97%

73.03%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.03%

8.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.4%

30.59%

Score Analysis

Everton 14.19%

Manchester City 68.19%

Draw 17.62%

Everton	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 4.04% 1-0 @ 3.3% 2-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.17% Total : 14.19%	1-1 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.87% 0-0 @ 3.25% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.62%	1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 7.71% 0-3 @ 7.6% 1-4 @ 4.65% 0-4 @ 4.58% 2-3 @ 3.91% 2-4 @ 2.36% 1-5 @ 2.24% 0-5 @ 2.21% 2-5 @ 1.14% 1-6 @ 0.9% Other @ 4% Total : 68.19%