Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 29

Mar 2, 2021 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
4 - 1
Wolves

Dendoncker (15' og.), Jesus (80', 90+5'), Mahrez (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coady (61')
Neto (71')

Reaction

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.45%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 5.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
83.45%	11.28%	5.26%

Both teams to score 43.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.86%

32.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.26%

53.74%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.41%

5.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.27%

21.73%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.87%

54.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.65%

87.35%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 83.45%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 5.26%

Draw 11.28%

Manchester City	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-0 @ 12.59% 3-0 @ 12.11% 4-0 @ 8.73% 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 7.43% 4-1 @ 5.36% 5-0 @ 5.04% 5-1 @ 3.09% 6-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.65% 6-1 @ 1.49% 7-0 @ 1% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.85% Total : 83.45%	1-1 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 3.03% 2-2 @ 2.37% Other @ 0.52% Total : 11.28%	0-1 @ 1.86% 1-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 1.76% Total : 5.26%