Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Feb 3, 2021 at 6pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 2
Man City

Stephens (83'), Mumbongo (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Jesus (3'), Sterling (38')
Ederson (76')

Reaction

Manchester City forward Raheem Sterling pictured on January 17, 2021

Raheem Sterling: 'Squad unity is helping us'

Victory away to Burnley on Wednesday night made it 13 wins on the bounce in all competitions.

Feb 4, 11:06

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on January 10, 2021

Pep Guardiola: 'We must focus on the next match'

The Manchester City boss admits his players will not get much time to enjoy their comfortable win at Burnley.

Feb 3, 21:18

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 8.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.26%) and 0-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Manchester City
8.91%	15.38%	75.7%

Both teams to score 47.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.22%

37.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.97%

60.03%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.78%

48.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.61%

83.38%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.63%

8.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.87%

29.12%

Score Analysis

Burnley 8.91%

Manchester City 75.68%

Draw 15.38%

Burnley	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 2.94% 2-1 @ 2.66% 2-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.23% Total : 8.91%	1-1 @ 7.3% 0-0 @ 4.03% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.75% Total : 15.38%	0-2 @ 12.41% 0-3 @ 10.26% 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.06% 1-3 @ 7.49% 0-4 @ 6.37% 1-4 @ 4.65% 0-5 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-6 @ 1.31% 1-6 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.29% Total : 75.68%