Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

May 13, 2021 at 6pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
0 - 0
Everton

Traore (43'), McGinn (90')

Sigurdsson (55')

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Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on May 9, 2021

Carlo Ancelotti: 'Aston Villa draw has hurt us'

Everton missed the chance to put serious pressure on the top six.

May 13, 20:37

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Everton
34.06%	27.74%	38.2%

Both teams to score 48.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.62%

57.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.8%

78.2%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32%

31.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91%

68.09%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91%

29.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99%

65.01%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 34.06%

Everton 38.19%

Draw 27.74%

Aston Villa	Draw	Everton
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.06%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.19%